NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48f41b4b71f50791bed91b4b75a45ed62d3ef4e629c6ae4a18aa16a161458570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Nets, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 78c | 6,737$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nets | 18c | 6,148$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.82 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Nets | 24c | 4,489$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Nets | 27c | 3,983$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.47 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nets | 35c | 3,314$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.24 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…2365backed Raptors | 79c | 2,814$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nets | 40c | 2,230$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 78c | 1,881$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.73 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 33c | 1,550$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nets | 32c | 1,414$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.59 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Nets | 30c | 1,400$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.09 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raptors | 73c | 1,394$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nets | 10c | 1,347$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Nets | 19c | 1,322$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Raptors | 79c | 1,204$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 74c | 1,120$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 1c | 1,021$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raptors | 67c | 953.13$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Raptors | 67c | 949.31$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.27 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Raptors | 73c | 768$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 71c | 757.18$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.58 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Nets | 21c | 711.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nets | 36c | 701.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Raptors | 70c | 590$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Raptors | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Raptors | 67c | 479.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nets | 24c | 475.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 2c | 422.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nets | 24c | 416$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Raptors | 69c | 408$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Nets | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Nets | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nets | 10c | 353$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nets | 11c | 347.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Raptors | 72c | 336.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 33c | 306.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nets | 26c | 266.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nets | 31c | 258$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 72c | 224.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Nets | 25c | 222.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Raptors | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Raptors | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nets | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Nets | 53c | 152.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Raptors | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Nets | 27c | 148.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Nets | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…7deabacked Raptors | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Raptors | 54c | 110.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Raptors | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Nets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Raptors | 47c | 97.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Raptors | 78c | 76.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Nets | 28c | 71.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf376…d88abacked Raptors | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Raptors | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Raptors | 70c | 64.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 70c | 64.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Raptors | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1f8fbacked Raptors | 70c | 52.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Nets | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…4ebabacked Raptors | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Raptors | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Raptors | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Raptors | 79c | 30.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Raptors | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Raptors | 72c | 29.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…2bfabacked Raptors | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…faf9backed Raptors | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Raptors | 65c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Raptorsthis page
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.