Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86242b68f6ff7ed8bbbaf41db850958a7eb4c06156c32ce33f9016fa2e23068b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 50c | 1,275$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.1 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 55c | 1,025$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.09 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Over | 62c | 800.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 753.7$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.87 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 40c | 725.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 45c | 553.72$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 46c | 510.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 37c | 490.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.91 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…0b42backed Over | 27c | 366.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 40c | 354.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1005…03c6backed Under | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 60c | 331.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 38c | 300.18$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Over | 57c | 277.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Over | 49c | 240.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 58c | 229.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…9b77backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Under | 53c | 198.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Under | 73c | 143$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 37c | 141.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 58c | 112.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 99.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 94.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Under | 61c | 92.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 58c | 76.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 56c | 53.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 71c | 49.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…767cbacked Over | 60c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 46.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…38e5backed Over | 38c | 39.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…0fbcbacked Over | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 402 | 31.3%126 W · 276 L | -28.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…fabdbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 60c | 23.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 219 | 46.6%102 W · 117 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…e16cbacked Over | 58c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)Top Esports won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerTop Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.