TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Top Esportsof Top Esports, LGD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x462d…ce9bbacked Top Esports69c7,198$5,000 inWon+$2,197.548453.6%45 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked LGD Gaming31c4,000$1,240 inLost-$1,239.9949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed LGD Gaming31c3,500$1,085 inLost-$1,08532234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed LGD Gaming30c3,370$1,011 inLost-$1,010.953661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Top Esports69c2,000$1,380 inWon+$62047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Top Esports69c888$613 inWon+$275.2814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Top Esports68c618.47$421 inWon+$197.916860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked LGD Gaming32c312.5$100 inLost-$10020546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Top Esports69c289.86$200 inWon+$89.8622562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Top Esports69c284.57$196 inWon+$88.2248852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LGD Gaming32c218.75$70 inLost-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Top Esports69c101.45$70 inWon+$31.4563458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Top Esports69c100$69 inWon+$3140546.2%187 W · 218 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed LGD Gaming31c70$22 inLost-$21.724650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6166…9586backed Top Esports69c57.97$40 inWon+$17.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked LGD Gaming32c31.25$10 inLost-$1014650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed LGD Gaming33c31$10 inLost-$10.2345841.5%190 W · 268 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Top Esports67c31$21 inWon+$10.2330151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Top Esports69c28.99$20 inWon+$8.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Top Esports66c22.22$15 inWon+$7.5657655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.