MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3e52ad644da40aca2d3b98b3b6df77f4208251707c1e69e2e3551d36564dcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 207,050$107,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,647.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 50,172$24,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,724.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 33,281$16,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,656.21 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 24,412$11,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,651.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…fa1bbacked Under | 2c | 21,740$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,347.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +1,746.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 15,242$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,925.69 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 63c | 14,190$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 5,814$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.66 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 5,693$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 3,875$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 51c | 3,045$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.93 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 62c | 2,600$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.29 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,259$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 45c | 1,692$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.01 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 48c | 1,639$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.05 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 63c | 1,535$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.09 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 53c | 1,078$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.23 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,018$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Over | 50c | 990.41$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 947.59$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 64c | 813.38$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 800$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 63c | 789.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 41c | 771.07$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.93 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 750$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 746.82$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 63c | 714.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 709.6$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Under | 58c | 709.41$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 51c | 670$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Under | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 17c | 557.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 512.69$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 49c | 461.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 433$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 410.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 397.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 364.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 353.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.12 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 319$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…bdd5backed Under | 49c | 300.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.31 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 275.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 52c | 269.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 48c | 257.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 70c | 240.42$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 213.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 211.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 49c | 207.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 66c | 205$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 50c | 198.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Over | 51c | 195.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 177.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 175.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 52c | 170.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 48c | 155.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 152.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Under | 57c | 141.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 52c | 134.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 51c | 119.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Under | 45c | 115.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 49c | 101.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 98.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 49c | 92.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 48c | 89.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 49c | 89.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 66c | 87.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Under | 52c | 85.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 84.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 81.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 58c | 79.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 53c | 75.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 61c | 74.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 64c | 72.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 54c | 71.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 60c | 69.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over | 41c | 59.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Under | 50c | 58.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 49c | 53.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.