MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a7d44da1474d56e0477ff4f5ce716525033c10a65aad8e8636fed2665b29bd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 38c | 9,414$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 5,721$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 4,561$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 77c | 3,049$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 2,871$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,657$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.4 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 2,128$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 34c | 1,960$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 1,303$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.12 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 70c | 727.71$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 710$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.06 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 523.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.41 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 518.08$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 69c | 453$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 448.32$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 292.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 38c | 291.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 272.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 9c | 239.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 222.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 35c | 192.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Detroit Tigers | 31c | 186.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees | 50c | 163.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed New York Yankees | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed New York Yankees | 69c | 139.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 130.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 122.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 122.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 34c | 115.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 106.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 88.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 87.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 87.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 77.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 71.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 30c | 64.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked New York Yankees | 34c | 64.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 64.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 62.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 57.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed New York Yankees | 40c | 57.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed New York Yankees | 45c | 55.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 53.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 71c | 51.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 72c | 51.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 48.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Yankees | 58c | 46.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed New York Yankees | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Yankees | 38c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 29.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked New York Yankees | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…df3ebacked New York Yankees | 69c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 16.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.