MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d530f8e9d373d30c989e169743358e84f446c2b65bf4aa250feb0472bcaa58a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Detroit Tigers, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,230$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,724$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 1,593$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 1,343$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 451.2$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 429.42$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 250.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 246.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 59c | 224$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 205.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 191.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 136.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked New York Yankees | 62c | 90.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees | 62c | 90.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 43c | 90.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees | 59c | 90.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 72.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 69.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 61.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 45c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 51.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 48.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 36.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 27.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 66c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.