MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928fd5c6c220a3dacd7e4d14b8d192f92f4e437cdec502e7ed170f74857808dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 9,872$4,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 42c | 9,275$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.36 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 58c | 7,308$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 1,599$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 60c | 1,174$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 43c | 1,083$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.69 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 840.06$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 798.81$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 57c | 771.21$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 720.16$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 58c | 655.69$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 34c | 626.06$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 376.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 68c | 353.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 342.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 257.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 219.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Under | 42c | 211.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 33c | 199$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 31c | 193.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 63c | 178.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 49c | 166.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 36c | 117.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 59c | 92.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 70c | 84.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 37c | 59.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 55.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 47c | 47.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…6124backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 55c | 45.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 64c | 38.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 33.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 39c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 47c | 23.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 57c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 22.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 59c | 21.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…fb3cbacked Over | 70c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.