MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27791a5592ca3b42af4b8142ef6e82585592354b72f3d6e82ccb336e71f76489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 3,578$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.61 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,986$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 2,564$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.76 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 2,161$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,343$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,297$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.82 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 1,046$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 637$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 453.69$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.8 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 330$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…d898backed New York Yankees | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 34c | 271.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 222.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 217.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed New York Yankees | 42c | 192.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed New York Yankees | 42c | 190.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 168.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 127.23$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e4adbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 43c | 123.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 103.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 16c | 102$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed New York Yankees | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Yankees | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed New York Yankees | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 61.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 48.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 43.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 42c | 38.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…02debacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed New York Yankees | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.