MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe150bb69b56f2519868ae5abe2d2db22b796c4dc085c10d500f74f0ab1a19400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 10,409$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.83 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 9,845$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…7ca5backed Over | 12c | 4,990$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -7.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 57c | 4,477$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.57 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 3,941$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,002$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 882.65$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 42c | 690.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 615.48$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Under | 76c | 436.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 47c | 358.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 304.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 301.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 40c | 252.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 225.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…a226backed Under | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 169$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 160.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 56c | 154.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 122.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 66c | 113.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Under | 56c | 98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 96.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Over | 46c | 94.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 58c | 71.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 63.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 66c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 43c | 53.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Under | 51c | 48.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Under | 53c | 32.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Under | 55c | 30.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 42c | 28.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…8254backed Under | 62c | 27.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…bd31backed Over | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 46c | 22.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…fb3cbacked Over | 46c | 22.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.