Fifa International · resolved market
Will Jordan win on 2025-10-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b3876a5dd95f8051465006c0bb9cfbd6790fc7003102cc7a7f2cbcd9e79c737
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 42c | 13,089$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.65 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 7,170$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.8 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 2,109$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 57c | 1,431$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 683.46$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Yes | 50c | 464.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 43c | 427$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 53c | 188.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 161.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed Yes | 43c | 129.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 48c | 123.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Yes | 42c | 66.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…a9dbbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan win on 2025-10-10?this page
- Will Bolivia win on 2025-10-10?Yes won
- Will Jordan vs. Bolivia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.