Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e95db25c98fe2680839dc203e4c4bf8049757697114f765e7ef54cfdc4f3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 77c | 35,000$26,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,950 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 23c | 34,664$7,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,691.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 50c | 5,895$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,156$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 24c | 2,669$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.44 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 2,450$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 57c | 1,745$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 75c | 1,471$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.05 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 710.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.17 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 562.83$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.64 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 143.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 64c | 84.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 27c | 53.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 47c | 40.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…54e7backed Yes | 47c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-10-25?this page
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2025-10-25?No won
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.