Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe714edfb30a49a24a946c88f2468b4d3f070dba9cf44f85c6d7a04bc5e75abd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 16,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 8,001$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.07 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 24c | 6,141$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,985$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.24 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 3,480$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.3 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 20c | 2,439$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.8 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 80c | 2,439$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.8 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 10c | 1,200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Yes | 10c | 463.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 373.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 301$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 9c | 278.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 30c | 210.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 162.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 130.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.