Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8b068591d0ac62e8bd8f37300e771fc47165e7570db51a1fbc32ad902e8321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 2,297$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…4b56backed Yes | 32c | 1,640$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…ebe9backed Yes | 32c | 1,240$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked No | 68c | 910$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…5237backed No | 68c | 730$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 16c | 687.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked No | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 71c | 581$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…129abacked No | 68c | 560$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe263…4348backed Yes | 32c | 485$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 468.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 31c | 420.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 410.69$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…5087backed Yes | 32c | 401$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…b564backed Yes | 32c | 395$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 385.03$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 28c | 340.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 326$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…0ce9backed Yes | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…738ebacked No | 68c | 265$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…220cbacked Yes | 32c | 265$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked No | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 31c | 241.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 235.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…982dbacked No | 68c | 220$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…730abacked No | 72c | 214.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa3…8133backed No | 68c | 208$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed No | 68c | 193$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…8bafbacked No | 71c | 184.89$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 165$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…3b7ebacked No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…9fbbbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed No | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…5d1fbacked No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…b357backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 29c | 97.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 95.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…2a5ebacked Yes | 31c | 82.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 70c | 74.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 65.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 30c | 65.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…f2dbbacked No | 69c | 30.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…3b1bbacked No | 70c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…a670backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 71c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.