Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95fe528c15a691e6a4dc2cc466d3aba3da394dad656e10199f41890300b3484b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 14c | 965.01$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 482.82$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 38c | 467.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…38c0backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 19c | 289.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 26c | 245.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 37c | 237.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 61c | 162.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 20c | 155.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 150.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…18ddbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…52c2backed No | 38c | 67.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…b870backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…25aebacked Yes | 80c | 29.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f35…ede2backed Yes | 62c | 17.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-10-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.