Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74395511cd7794ce319d92b85b3aa3d1a233c3d74a2620e0d7585a16d9b1738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 2,203$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 35c | 2,173$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 34c | 2,055$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 1,513$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.39 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 1,205$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,002$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 66c | 836.82$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 773.41$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 36c | 772.95$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 768.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +2,117%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01ed…ca5fbacked Yes | 68c | 699$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 697.9$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.27 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 25c | 696.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 34c | 579.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.6 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 66c | 540.91$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 68c | 448.43$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 19c | 430$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1e13backed Yes | 66c | 365.84$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 64c | 313.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 38c | 263.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 35c | 260.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…2462backed Yes | 67c | 259.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 70c | 238.34$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 66c | 226.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 77c | 225.39$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked No | 67c | 222$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 45c | 174.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 156.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 28c | 141.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 60c | 141.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 20c | 141.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed No | 42c | 128.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 79c | 115.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 67c | 91.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 68c | 86.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 32c | 57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Yes | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes | 40c | 50.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…3b44backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…7266backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…63a2backed Yes | 68c | 29.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 67c | 26.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…dc0dbacked No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…e682backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…07f7backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5f…7ecebacked Yes | 66c | 20.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x750f…dae2backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-30?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2025-09-30?Yes won
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.