Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e00356f89a946305e9ea9c2f767f49fbed80c9dfef69dc439bdacc5b659a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 50c | 8,500$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 6,042$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.9 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 888.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 53c | 772$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.28 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 34c | 734.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…e4a0backed No | 46c | 646.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 563.33$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 24c | 453.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 449.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 55c | 439$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 52c | 419.74$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked No | 45c | 391.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 365.02$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 46c | 335.34$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 55c | 316.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 55c | 183.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 56c | 179.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 75.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -8.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 55c | 40.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed No | 80c | 24.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-01?Yes won
- Will Leicester City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.