Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5304a6557bafbdbcf0767c838c4ee18a6c073da7ae7f0cc9d153ad87e12dbc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Arnaldi, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Zverev | 77c | 11,999$9,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.86 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Arnaldi | 23c | 11,413$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Zverev | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.88 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arnaldi | 25c | 5,765$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Zverev | 75c | 4,672$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.91 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Arnaldi | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arnaldi | 14c | 3,416$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Arnaldi | 24c | 3,119$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.56 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Arnaldi | 25c | 2,868$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.81 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…27bdbacked Arnaldi | 10c | 2,300$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…7d3cbacked Zverev | 76c | 2,264$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arnaldi | 24c | 2,116$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.71 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Zverev | 76c | 2,000$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Zverev | 72c | 1,710$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.78 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zverev | 78c | 1,625$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.43 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Arnaldi | 4c | 1,561$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arnaldi | 25c | 1,468$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Arnaldi | 25c | 1,400$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.6 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arnaldi | 24c | 1,149$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Arnaldi | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Arnaldi | 25c | 949.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Zverev | 74c | 890$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Arnaldi | 25c | 826.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arnaldi | 7c | 750.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Arnaldi | 28c | 728.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zverev | 71c | 576$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Zverev | 77c | 557.13$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arnaldi | 25c | 555.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Arnaldi | 27c | 523.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Zverev | 75c | 510$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Arnaldi | 24c | 454.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Zverev | 77c | 432.32$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Zverev | 71c | 420.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Arnaldi | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Zverev | 74c | 353.05$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Arnaldi | 18c | 309.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Arnaldi | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Zverev | 78c | 283.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zverev | 72c | 275.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Zverev | 75c | 255.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Arnaldi | 24c | 218.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…d265backed Zverev | 74c | 208.89$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Arnaldi | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…fb94backed Zverev | 72c | 199.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Zverev | 76c | 180.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Arnaldi | 16c | 150.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Zverev | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Arnaldi | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Zverev | 73c | 148.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zverev | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3579…0cbfbacked Arnaldi | 24c | 137.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +76%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b4…5c2bbacked Zverev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Zverev | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Zverev | 77c | 129.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e3…4e67backed Zverev | 75c | 123$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…1a42backed Arnaldi | 26c | 123$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…8607backed Zverev | 76c | 119.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Zverev | 77c | 116.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…8dcdbacked Arnaldi | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Arnaldi | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…563dbacked Zverev | 75c | 105$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…5d0bbacked Arnaldi | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Zverev | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Arnaldi | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Zverev | 78c | 92.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…f5f4backed Zverev | 76c | 91.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…f252backed Zverev | 74c | 87.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…bffabacked Arnaldi | 26c | 83.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arnaldi | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Zverev | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Arnaldi | 24c | 75.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c2…073dbacked Zverev | 76c | 72.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Zverev | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf24…0039backed Zverev | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…21d7backed Zverev | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Zverev | 76c | 65.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Zverev | 76c | 64.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…b9f4backed Zverev | 76c | 64.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Arnaldi | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…9995backed Zverev | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…24edbacked Arnaldi | 26c | 55.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Zverev | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Zverev | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Zverev | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Zverev | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Zverev | 76c | 43.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Zverev | 74c | 40.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Zverev | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…a478backed Zverev | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Zverev | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…9398backed Zverev | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Zverev | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Zverev | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Zverev | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Zverev | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Zverev | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Zverev | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Zverev | 76c | 23.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…1603backed Zverev | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Zverev | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.