MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c3d7489e76b975abb9a1a157aabafe04c719d304cdae9ce3e65bb363b4a4c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $852,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Nationals | 37c | 684,476$250,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250,776.14 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 63c | 294,649$185,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,020.13 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 64c | 86,799$55,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,247.66 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 64c | 71,000$45,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,890 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 64c | 50,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 64c | 37,647$24,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,556.97 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 63c | 31,524$19,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,663.79 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 64c | 27,813$17,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,012.5 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 63c | 13,300$8,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 63c | 12,577$7,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,603.49 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 64c | 9,735$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Phillies | 64c | 6,900$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.04 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 37c | 6,844$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.28 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 64c | 6,697$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 63c | 6,675$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.72 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 36c | 5,644$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.35 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 64c | 5,469$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.75 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 5c | 4,487$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 73c | 4,378$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Phillies | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Nationals | 48c | 2,914$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 63c | 2,529$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.29 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed Nationals | 36c | 2,200$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Nationals | 37c | 1,750$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Nationals | 37c | 1,500$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.44 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Nationals | 13c | 1,233$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.8 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 64c | 1,167$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.17 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…a733backed Phillies | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 37c | 1,100$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…c1a7backed Nationals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…9f91backed Nationals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 37c | 999.94$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c66cbacked Phillies | 61c | 984$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 37c | 969.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.89 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Phillies | 61c | 966$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Nationals | 39c | 950$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Nationals | 6c | 859.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 64c | 833$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 73c | 822.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 62c | 815.51$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Phillies | 61c | 813$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…6038backed Nationals | 37c | 749.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Phillies | 64c | 740$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Phillies | 62c | 727.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Nationals | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 37c | 626$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 71c | 612$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 63c | 558.38$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 36c | 472.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 63c | 452$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Nationals | 6c | 449.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 73c | 442.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 64c | 410$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Phillies | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 25c | 397.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nationals | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 393.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…c6e2backed Phillies | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Phillies | 64c | 346$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Nationals | 30c | 334.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 62c | 322.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 64c | 315$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Phillies | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Phillies | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 22c | 310.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 37c | 301.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Nationals | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 31c | 298.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 36c | 297.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 70c | 293.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 62c | 263.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Phillies | 64c | 254.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nationals | 27c | 246.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Phillies | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Nationals | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 40c | 215.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Nationals | 20c | 205.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Nationals | 25c | 196.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.