MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef58a5902c458d305db919eb83c798ae759d8beee3767b675ac04f60543725e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rangers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 51c | 38,772$19,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,049.81 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 63c | 26,898$17,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,074.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mariners | 33c | 23,704$7,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,790.77 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners | 36c | 20,300$7,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,991.68 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers | 46c | 15,573$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rangers | 50c | 11,997$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,033.33 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rangers | 52c | 11,247$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.01 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 55c | 10,054$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers | 51c | 9,803$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.14 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners | 44c | 8,604$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.72 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 62c | 7,599$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rangers | 37c | 6,266$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.81 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 63c | 5,700$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers | 72c | 4,935$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.33 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 17c | 4,568$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.72 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rangers | 37c | 4,508$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.86 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 37c | 3,514$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.22 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mariners | 77c | 2,760$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.3 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Mariners | 23c | 2,600$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 49c | 2,320$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.3 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 63c | 2,141$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.27 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Rangers | 37c | 2,111$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.07 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rangers | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 70c | 1,832$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Rangers | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 63c | 1,564$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mariners | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.77 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 62c | 1,366$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.06 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 65c | 1,333$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 62c | 1,327$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.25 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mariners | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…696fbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,279$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rangers | 37c | 1,278$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.73 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rangers | 38c | 1,230$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.43 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 37c | 1,202$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.62 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…79b3backed Rangers | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…5f95backed Rangers | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Rangers | 71c | 1,157$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.78 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mariners | 62c | 1,153$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…1f78backed Mariners | 61c | 1,121$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rangers | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.9 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 38c | 1,041$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.57 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rangers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Mariners | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 22c | 998.84$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 70c | 830.82$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.83 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Mariners | 63c | 788.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.93 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rangers | 37c | 783$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners | 57c | 723.24$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Rangers | 73c | 683.7$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 43c | 668.22$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mariners | 16c | 654.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.1 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 61c | 640$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 24c | 593.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 71c | 575$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers | 44c | 529.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.55 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Rangers | 57c | 527.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rangers | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mariners | 29c | 491.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.97 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Rangers | 72c | 481.36$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.19 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Mariners | 45c | 479.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 58c | 471.95$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Rangers | 35c | 404.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Rangers | 57c | 401.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mariners | 33c | 400$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rangers | 38c | 384.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Rangers | 76c | 350$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Mariners | 62c | 321.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Rangers | 39c | 318.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…cee6backed Rangers | 71c | 282.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 43c | 280.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers | 78c | 277.12$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Rangers | 73c | 250.45$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.22 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers | 36c | 234.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 37c | 232.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 44c | 231.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 38c | 215.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers | 60c | 214.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.62 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Mariners | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Mariners | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 75c | 194.42$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rangers | 43c | 190.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.