WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01984f83a5fe4dcfddd3ff21bc3aced829bb8cc9931e87009d3cc175975288b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dream | 22c | 3,380$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.2 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lynx | 78c | 2,854$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynx | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Dream | 25c | 1,979$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dream | 59c | 1,819$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.33 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dream | 24c | 1,671$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.77 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lynx | 28c | 1,545$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.46 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lynx | 4c | 1,207$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Lynx | 28c | 1,055$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 35c | 1,034$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.64 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Dream | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lynx | 55c | 987.44$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Lynx | 51c | 669$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lynx | 76c | 628.11$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 71c | 540$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Lynx | 42c | 534.28$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lynx | 42c | 438.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Lynx | 79c | 382.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.51per pick | 65cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 27c | 376.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.38 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 27c | 371.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lynx | 31c | 350$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lynx | 74c | 274.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.36 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 52c | 213.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Dream | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 24c | 159.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Dream | 20c | 145.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Lynx | 59c | 117.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Lynx | 46c | 104.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Dream | 26c | 100.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Lynx | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Lynx | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Lynx | 29c | 92.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Lynx | 76c | 91.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dream | 28c | 56.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Dream | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lynx | 78c | 48.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lynx | 74c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lynx | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Lynx | 75c | 32.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Lynx | 52c | 27.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lynx | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.