Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a18876ff2db63c3cd5c2a2240da7bb4e5c248d645feeadfc84992a30fc3796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Yes | 46c | 58,886$27,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,087.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 54c | 8,543$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.55 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 6,018$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.14 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 54c | 3,870$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 3,322$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 2,869$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.91 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 51c | 2,282$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 1,724$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.92 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 18c | 1,303$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 45c | 1,151$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.66 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 37c | 1,048$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 56c | 939$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.08 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked No | 57c | 891.38$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 786.46$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.31 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 751.15$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.58 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 53c | 690$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.3 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 614.52$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Yes | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 55c | 335.47$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 47c | 315$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 55c | 285$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 45c | 251.34$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 53c | 231.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 53c | 189.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 52c | 167.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 55c | 167.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 50c | 118.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 53c | 88.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed No | 55c | 84.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 46c | 69.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd316…bca3backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 54c | 42.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…2803backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 56c | 34.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb081…a15bbacked Yes | 50c | 32.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 61c | 31.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…4812backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.