Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967c1aa16a8bfa04ec32cb9cdb405ae771c3508d254f03d71b0576a01a24aff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,301$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 78c | 1,287$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 936.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.96 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 623.37$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 25c | 563.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 509.08$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 23c | 500.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 11c | 282.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…2589backed Yes | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 76c | 149.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 105.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 78c | 63.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 77c | 44.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 36.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.