World Politics · resolved market
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e691e9fd140a8e70aaa3458a1bf6111d40b3411809e57cc207f9e28a7f69323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 4c | 30,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 64c | 15,466$9,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.17 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 38c | 14,454$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.95 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,001$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.98 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,800$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 59c | 1,307$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 55c | 1,027$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.81 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 5c | 913.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 31c | 746.3$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…de17backed Yes | 53c | 561.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b9…47cebacked Yes | 33c | 484.74$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb9…3aa9backed Yes | 37c | 267.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9039…6ceebacked Yes | 53c | 261.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 47c | 239$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 235$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 59c | 211.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…8bd1backed Yes | 54c | 208.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 201.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked No | 44c | 195.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…021dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 6c | 191$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 180.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…a1d0backed No | 60c | 174.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Yes | 75c | 173.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 161.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…9c8fbacked Yes | 47c | 159.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 55c | 154$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 67c | 145.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…efa0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked Yes | 37c | 109.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f0…e696backed No | 46c | 107.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…984cbacked Yes | 58c | 96.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…86a7backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…3e1ebacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 66c | 62.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…4f1dbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 53c | 59.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 53.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 42c | 51.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…391dbacked Yes | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 55c | 42.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…e6fdbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…6c24backed Yes | 44c | 33.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…7e45backed Yes | 47c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 59c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.