TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Kings, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$441,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kings50c165,173$83,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,225.349242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Wild49c34,565$16,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,616.153865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Wild51c34,275$17,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,663.948952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild52c33,105$17,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,863.0836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Wild51c30,883$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,132.4516743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Wild48c22,115$10,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,480.187659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Wild47c21,484$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,284.739340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings47c15,820$7,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.1931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Kings48c10,987$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,273.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings32c9,588$3,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,093.1392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Kings49c9,096$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.075644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Wild48c8,860$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.615259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings43c8,681$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.3558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Wild54c8,028$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,727.728842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Wild50c7,898$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.081936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild51c7,777$3,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.061,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Wild51c6,000$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.0114253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9d…dc00backed Kings52c4,589$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.442552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…6b5abacked Wild48c4,589$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.442646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Kings51c4,440$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.466737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wild49c4,150$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.862,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings50c4,100$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.0257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Wild48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings33c3,547$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.6595049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Wild48c3,437$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.512941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wild48c2,832$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.641,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings23c2,782$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.391,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Wild49c2,720$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.413053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Wild51c2,078$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.7187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298d…feacbacked Kings51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Kings53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings50c1,958$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.9693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Kings46c1,900$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8744252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Wild52c1,900$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91230552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings10c1,816$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Wild52c1,669$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wild72c1,586$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.79149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings40c1,500$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5983,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Wild49c1,433$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.362955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings3c1,396$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Kings48c1,294$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.1789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Wild49c1,258$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.092955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Wild51c1,250$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6155240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Wild71c1,200$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.7920137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Wild48c1,163$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Wild48c1,112$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.074546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9985…bd4bbacked Wild48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Wild48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.675054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Wild48c1,025$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53332251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ce1…91f2backed Kings51c980.39$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wild72c931.98$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.612,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wild52c922.17$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.641,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kings26c876$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.814753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda2b…9b90backed Kings52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Kings52c769.68$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.128360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings41c740.85$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.651,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Wild48c708.33$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.333850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed Wild48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild48c696$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Kings15c666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e0b…7317backed Wild49c650$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings12c628.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.514451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Wild53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfc…c27cbacked Kings52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Wild53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Kings3c599.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Kings52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kings17c526.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Kings49c512.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9313348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Wild52c507$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.361,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings9c504.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb96…38d6backed Wild49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Wild48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Wild49c448.82$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.92445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2998…16dfbacked Wild48c438$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…c6e3backed Kings53c438$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wild48c409.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2930447.4%144 W · 160 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Kings52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Wild53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3623653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild54c372$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.121,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Wild48c353.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9210158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc4b…3deebacked Wild49c338$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings3c328.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wild64c325.41$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.991,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…bd7ebacked Wild49c322$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813a…d33bbacked Wild49c309$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Wild53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1413246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Kings47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Wild49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15375946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Kings30c297.19$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.24015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kings46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Kings49c238$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8829345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Kings51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.13135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Wild53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.74634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa8…7afbbacked Wild48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.