Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa vs. Parma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e30feaa700e6ed3f44cd63217c2683755f80101e70282ee187d491d96c612ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 14,435$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,857.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 38c | 10,295$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 15c | 836$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…0aaebacked Yes | 77c | 789.84$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 700.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 464$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 35c | 441$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 5c | 380$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 312$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…b8f9backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 69c | 24.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa vs. Parma end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Parma win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.