Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c1db3b809da0606fb89ff8ade0c13bae2f52081886e3e0cae00a82ce3ab14a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 34c | 11,041$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.46 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 1c | 5,555$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,488.35 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 41c | 4,594$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,184$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.95 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 2,157$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.79 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,915$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.52 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 51c | 1,913$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 671.4$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 43c | 475.56$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 32c | 403.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 53c | 375.4$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 41c | 328.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 57c | 325.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 59c | 226.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 56c | 215.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes | 39c | 198$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 53c | 197.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 173$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 150.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 38c | 150.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 54c | 133.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 58c | 126.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…a629backed Yes | 59c | 111.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed No | 56c | 71.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 70.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 43c | 69.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…69c3backed Yes | 52c | 69.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…a6b7backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 44c | 57.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…0517backed Yes | 57c | 52.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…99f9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Genoa vs. Parma end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Parma win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.