Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4cfeccbb66b5f4c45837622a7ff6efa03eda742988d48ca5c0fa737346eea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 71c | 7,939$5,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.29 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 34c | 6,641$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.65 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 57c | 3,162$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 15c | 1,899$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 954.45$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.84 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 30c | 749.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 28c | 667.19$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 315.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 30c | 303.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 48c | 209.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 44c | 134.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 100.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 75c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 25c | 41.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…0120backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 77c | 22.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No | 57c | 19.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 78c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-08-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.