Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-08-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88e2e855d93750deac6dcb99fb79d9d09298400acf14fd1a5d6ada72e1b49bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 38c | 3,576$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.76 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,214$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.87 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 2,407$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.39 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 36c | 2,098$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.14 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 1,317$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 46c | 651.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 66c | 569.4$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.54 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 424.12$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 249$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 78c | 225.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 52c | 131.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 63c | 79.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…9afcbacked No | 47c | 60.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…f941backed No | 72c | 55.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 60c | 54.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yes | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 46c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-08-31?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.