MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89af3efc5dca520fffd410e99db7fba038b3c3530ad8a07bca332ae402ea1f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Phillies, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 627 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Nationals | 44c | 255,674$111,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,707.56 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 56c | 115,350$64,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,596 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 46c | 108,120$49,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,362.36 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,099.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 54c | 28,009$15,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,013.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 55c | 26,470$14,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,568.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 56c | 25,536$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,300.16 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 57c | 17,679$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Phillies | 57c | 13,680$7,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,797.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 62c | 13,050$8,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,107.09 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 56c | 10,800$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 53c | 9,367$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.52 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 36c | 7,814$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.89 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 57c | 5,427$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.39 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Nationals | 44c | 5,015$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Nationals | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 4,966$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 50c | 4,951$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.86 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 51c | 4,896$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 57c | 4,640$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Phillies | 56c | 4,600$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Nationals | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Phillies | 56c | 4,123$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 55c | 3,785$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 60c | 3,764$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.7 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Nationals | 44c | 3,570$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 53c | 2,930$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.17 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Phillies | 56c | 2,065$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.53 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 56c | 1,702$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.84 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nationals | 42c | 1,671$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.61 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Phillies | 58c | 1,612$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.04 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 20c | 1,609$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 44c | 1,531$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nationals | 43c | 1,504$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.01 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Phillies | 60c | 1,089$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 43c | 991.86$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.36 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Nationals | 44c | 879.28$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.33 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Nationals | 44c | 861$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 44c | 720.41$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.41 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Nationals | 43c | 694.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 56c | 534.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 56c | 533.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Phillies | 55c | 500$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Phillies | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 40c | 473.07$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.84 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 19c | 472.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 56c | 460$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…6ab8backed Phillies | 25c | 440$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Phillies | 21c | 425.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Nationals | 55c | 404.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Nationals | 44c | 395.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 21c | 390$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 58c | 365$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 22c | 364.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 352.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 41c | 349.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 24c | 346.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 33c | 338.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 42c | 312.48$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Phillies | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 44c | 295.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Nationals | 47c | 261.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 53c | 261.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Phillies | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 43c | 232.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 57c | 230.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…7205backed Phillies | 57c | 206.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Phillies | 57c | 203.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Phillies | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Nationals | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.