Serie A · resolved market
Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbea43d52187e2c6d005454b4e8cad36b3c162b4c5b3c29dbec3d46493aacc73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 3,462$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.28 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 69c | 3,427$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…4021backed Yes | 36c | 3,313$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 69c | 2,376$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.8 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 21c | 2,100$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.05 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.99 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 25c | 1,991$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.18 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 1,216$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 64c | 1,129$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.41 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 65c | 899.3$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 776.88$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 20c | 714.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 24c | 623.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 35c | 571.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 18c | 563.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed8…0742backed Yes | 28c | 531.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…1a92backed Yes | 16c | 509.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Yes | 16c | 502.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +226.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 442.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 14c | 436.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 385.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 66c | 354.41$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 34c | 348.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 315.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 36c | 282.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 10c | 247.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…e49cbacked Yes | 9c | 221$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 66c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked No | 65c | 199.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 67c | 164.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199e…fa60backed Yes | 16c | 160$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…0389backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 66c | 151.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 34c | 151.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 33c | 145.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…8f76backed Yes | 14c | 141.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 34c | 140.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 65c | 139.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 67c | 135$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 132.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 41c | 129.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 43c | 125$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…e978backed Yes | 27c | 112.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 29c | 105.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…99b2backed Yes | 35c | 99.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…d4a4backed Yes | 15c | 79.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…1fa6backed Yes | 34c | 67.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 35c | 66.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…57e6backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…418cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 67c | 46.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 43.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 37.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…1d33backed Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Inter end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.