Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus vs. Inter end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e12829de964fd869759cf9c77f91846830115553d4a75cd73bdf713d6b6723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 58c | 2,603$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 47c | 2,114$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.3 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 1,232$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 900$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 767.38$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.36 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 655.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.87 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 30c | 618$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 32c | 484.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…0179backed Yes | 66c | 374.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 38c | 360.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 11c | 348.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 31c | 336$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 284.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…789abacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 50c | 249.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 67c | 199.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 67c | 195.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 184.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 68c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 155.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 119$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 103.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 70c | 85.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 30c | 83.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 79c | 76.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 28c | 68.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 39c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…4d3cbacked Yes | 40c | 42.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 70c | 37.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…5c09backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked No | 60c | 29.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus vs. Inter end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.