TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c18,519$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,551.982,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No66c16,749$11,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,054.034351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes44c3,680$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.7824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No54c3,094$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.3913754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9809952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No66c1,824$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.971952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No67c1,524$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.7717543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c1,522$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.2832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes33c1,031$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.7911772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes33c1,003$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No65c999.95$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.978463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No49c922.08$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.068457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fcb…e95fbacked Yes68c857.98$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No44c754.42$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c701.04$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes33c664$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.521625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes35c653.57$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.044134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Yes59c641.7$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes34c608.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.824323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7b…0179backed Yes62c587.87$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes35c546$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No61c545.4$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2722551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked Yes15c505.13$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+226.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No67c449.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes21c436$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes33c336.88$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6324…95b9backed Yes36c327.39$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes54c323.92$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b42…0a09backed Yes36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes36c274.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb49d…f51abacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes57c248$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.062142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No65c230.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.11650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12b…8f76backed Yes18c225.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…e978backed Yes14c220.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+137.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9d…2317backed Yes58c195.69$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c188.11$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8728556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No68c187$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.163836.8%14 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No64c186.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed No65c182$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fd…582dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdce…a1d1backed Yes17c173.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+92.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5a6…ded6backed Yes35c171.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844a…ba1abacked Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e2…ca98backed Yes31c163.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Yes34c162.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.861650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No26c158$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3120033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes44c153$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d21…b038backed Yes32c152.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+128.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No67c149.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.49911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick44cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee78…9de1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…bb41backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f65…1a92backed Yes36c140.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes34c140.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.533119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes33c127.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.274930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a4…84a0backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes36c112.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes31c104.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07a0…a950backed Yes68c104.52$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes35c95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.052437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes60c91.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes56c89.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No66c84.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31be…2ed2backed Yes36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf926…4d3cbacked Yes30c83.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+67.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb782…c353backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked No41c70.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No64c70$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84663%29 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes37c64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.45635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes43c62.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.632445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Yes57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No68c60.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.832839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b26…6900backed Yes35c57.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes35c57.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1626744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dbc…a8c1backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+125.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72c6…f769backed Yes36c56.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+110.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec73…303fbacked Yes37c47.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.