Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen again by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79ce2d9008231509b45760b8b64248aaa74f41eae8ee1b3c829a1d75d77056b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4685…4de3backed No | 1c | 18,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 59c | 12,292$7,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.61 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed No | 0c | 5,648$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 1c | 5,503$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed No | 66c | 5,390$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.63 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed Yes | 19c | 2,857$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.24 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…8c33backed Yes | 37c | 2,714$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…6f56backed No | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…478abacked Yes | 32c | 2,487$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…662ebacked No | 70c | 2,264$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.74 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…7c54backed Yes | 22c | 1,785$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 72c | 1,191$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.92 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 1,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 1,059$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.47 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 72c | 980.67$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…37a4backed Yes | 16c | 865.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 19c | 845.35$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.33 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 799.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 20c | 773.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.2 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 25c | 743.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.53 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 80c | 644.81$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.4 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 34c | 593.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked Yes | 18c | 571.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…23c9backed No | 76c | 560.96$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 16c | 526.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.66 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 18c | 515.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.02 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 17c | 487.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.38 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 73c | 482.57$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…1318backed Yes | 42c | 444.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 76c | 429.99$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.49 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…3913backed No | 68c | 417.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +19.1wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 28c | 386.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.21 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…52f9backed No | 65c | 377$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…5a09backed No | 71c | 376.67$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed No | 77c | 374.89$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 16c | 361.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 20c | 340$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…c8a5backed Yes | 30c | 332.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 27c | 316.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…e038backed Yes | 19c | 284.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 71c | 260.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 260$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.76 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 250$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…1026backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 76c | 231.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 20c | 225.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fce…f22abacked No | 8c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…d046backed No | 77c | 194.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…8145backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 14c | 180.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 77c | 179.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 65c | 156.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 71c | 155$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…7a79backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 17c | 135.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.74 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 20c | 130.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…c123backed Yes | 17c | 117.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…16b1backed Yes | 18c | 108.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 162 | 46.3%75 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 54c | 98.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…22e1backed Yes | 21c | 96.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed Yes | 19c | 81.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 67c | 71.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…b1a8backed Yes | 38c | 65.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed Yes | 18c | 63.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 37c | 54.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…1c9dbacked Yes | 35c | 52.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…05bebacked No | 80c | 50.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…ed0ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…fc98backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 75c | 48.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 71c | 47.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe409…aa26backed No | 68c | 40.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 75c | 38.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 64c | 34.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…396ebacked No | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 74c | 33.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…5a23backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfb…1b5cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 35c | 29.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…0b89backed No | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…cd41backed No | 80c | 22.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 78c | 20.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.