La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbebddfdda666082410209eecd447857814950b8d969b099ac5cba83bb062763d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2c98backed Yes | 25c | 21,261$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 15,800$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 24c | 9,422$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 12c | 7,905$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 75c | 3,600$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 3,507$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 75c | 2,412$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.01 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,369$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 22c | 2,286$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,050$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.38 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,854$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 1,265$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,209$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…b9d2backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…3272backed No | 74c | 1,100$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 76c | 1,097$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 22c | 1,060$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 977$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 19c | 800$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 76c | 443.42$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…30febacked Yes | 28c | 358.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 307.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 79c | 306.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73c…21f2backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 17c | 268$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 24c | 235.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 207.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 77.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 76.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…3834backed Yes | 24c | 73.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 28c | 70.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 27c | 69.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 22c | 53.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc065…96a2backed Yes | 37c | 35.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 34.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 73c | 29.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.