TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,692
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,692 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No54c8,570$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.4515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c6,909$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,120.654,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No54c6,023$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.649459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes47c3,695$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.622035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c2,759$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.9127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed No56c2,382$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.141770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c2,374$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.083,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No28c1,695$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.267443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No55c1,596$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.113060%18 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No39c1,440$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.8225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Yes46c1,330$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No55c1,198$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.773240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…f500backed No57c1,000$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45014244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No54c998.98$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.534753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No56c977$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No55c960.68$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.314845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c900$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No47c864.94$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf341…d026backed No55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086250%31 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No3c685.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.195143.1%22 W · 29 L+15.1wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+663.6%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes38c670$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No58c660$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.813969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No53c600.25$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.845448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No75c487.44$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2327453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked No40c442.71$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes26c431.79$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.929545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes40c392.64$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes46c374.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.174850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f2…6fe4backed No56c357$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.081080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes58c330.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes57c329.51$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8214067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No54c326.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6212757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…e2c4backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14411947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c258.1$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes45c235.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.038552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes44c225.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.114450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No54c220.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.498961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked No57c214.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No50c212.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.044330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked No51c206.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe221…234dbacked Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c189.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…36e7backed Yes66c183.74$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aef…06f8backed Yes48c144.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes46c144$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2414540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes63c138.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdca…bfc4backed No37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.939949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes46c129.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.634942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked No41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes27c109.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes45c105.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0510956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.92853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.312251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb5…be6cbacked Yes61c89.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbebb…1465backed Yes45c88.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629f…3f9dbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6812925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked No57c63.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.115056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked No48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No48c47.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7821648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes65c46.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.314854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11a…f992backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No51c41.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6117155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes76c40.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b49…4922backed Yes63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2f…5c5ebacked No55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes78c34.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.065052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…2bccbacked No57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8814462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbed…3bccbacked Yes45c25.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No53c21.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe36d…d7d3backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ecc…5816backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.