La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6b7b8600ccae3c890b6680ce96f84dac426ae7c9bcb22e337ff02a85faaa49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 7,416$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,329.57 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 36c | 7,394$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 4,992$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.25 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 4,911$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 34c | 3,575$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 1,734$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.48 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 883.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 771$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.12 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 73c | 664.38$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 27c | 520.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.22 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 341.97$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 35c | 311.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 250.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 35c | 243.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 35c | 115.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 95.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 31c | 55.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 70c | 39.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a99abacked Yes | 31c | 32.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 73c | 21.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.