Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fd5f2f2b8d31f0a6f89b291a1230be81a554d8d36b95e510159ae1f1183092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,648 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 38c | 174,974$66,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,483.85 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 37c | 94,505$34,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,914.75 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 62c | 80,187$49,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,734.21 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 73,227$45,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,435.54 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,799.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 36,812$22,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,420.88 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 21,488$13,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,420.57 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,449.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 62c | 12,757$7,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,909.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 62c | 12,631$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.95 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 62c | 10,858$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 63c | 9,792$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 66c | 6,439$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 37c | 6,194$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…76b9backed No | 62c | 5,950$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…5c4fbacked No | 63c | 5,440$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…5866backed No | 62c | 5,227$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 4,255$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.12 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 4,052$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.58 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 66c | 3,500$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 62c | 2,711$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 2,022$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.29 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 66c | 1,788$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.08 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,694$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.7 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 1,529$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.12 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 62c | 1,321$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 66c | 1,275$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 62c | 1,209$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.58 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 1,198$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.74 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed No | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 39c | 957.95$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.8 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 63c | 936$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.71 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…873cbacked No | 62c | 909.47$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 62c | 886$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 885$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.78 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 68c | 699.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 39c | 661.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 62c | 566.12$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.94 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 525$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 499.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 475.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 472.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 66c | 470$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 35c | 460$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 450$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 63c | 437.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 402$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.88 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 61c | 378.66$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 375.09$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.35 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 374.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 352$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 63c | 345$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d541backed No | 6c | 333.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 26c | 330$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 62c | 314$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 36c | 301.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 45c | 255.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…ffb0backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 45c | 233.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 62c | 222.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 219.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 38c | 219.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed No | 62c | 216$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 66c | 210$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 62c | 208.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 199$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 64c | 193.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 62c | 182.58$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 64c | 179.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 32c | 178$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 66c | 175$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 66c | 175$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 38c | 169.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 62c | 158.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 62c | 152.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.