Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89612e1a32eae813f2ba4a1d1e883f772aedb9b55fe14b2e7e649ba20f1db7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,929 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 72c | 3,668$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,957$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.43 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,955$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.61 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,853$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.55 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,481$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 1,444$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.49 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,250$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 1,005$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 966.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 70c | 854.37$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 718.13$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 691$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 690.46$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 25c | 653$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes | 26c | 480.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 389.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 27c | 319$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 313.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 29c | 260.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 26c | 188.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 27c | 185.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 179$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 73c | 154$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 105.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 27c | 99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 83.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 59.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked No | 71c | 56.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 52.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 38.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 35c | 38.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 73c | 35.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…31d8backed Yes | 51c | 20.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…6e50backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 79c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.