Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e22543c6b4a69ccd5ff94c3d36f4355c14abbd69a239c04600af4918f875fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,938 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 4,761$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.45 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,797$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,003$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.56 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 13c | 1,144$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 727.41$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 616.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 65c | 569.47$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.32 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 16c | 427$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 36c | 350.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 226$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 150.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 60c | 119.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 37c | 94.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 12c | 86.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 84.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 40c | 83.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 35c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 77.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 16c | 66.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 62c | 64.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Yes | 36c | 58.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 36c | 57.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes | 38c | 42.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2438…4b60backed Yes | 41c | 42.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 65c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…8f29backed Yes | 38c | 39.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 35c | 34.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes | 40c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 37c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 62c | 30.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.