Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bc71fea5834f0feadc4f1136a1dbc0c6148e2df3bd958b86e0ae66f5c70df7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof Houston Cougars, BYU Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,401 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 606.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Houston Cougars | 46c | 542.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars | 49c | 381.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 330.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 279.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Houston Cougars | 46c | 245.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked BYU Cougars | 55c | 217.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Cougars | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Houston Cougars | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Cougars | 46c | 113.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 99.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Houston Cougars | 46c | 61.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Cougars | 45c | 54.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked BYU Cougars | 55c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BYU Cougars | 54c | 49.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed BYU Cougars | 55c | 39.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed BYU Cougars | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars won
- BYU Cougars vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.