MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734a775a5db5f3b55092a00d442ee0487d4d83ab604b70c11c96c8dd5ad570e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 54c | 23,081$12,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,439.54 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs | 46c | 21,149$9,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,420.25 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Brewers | 54c | 9,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cubs | 47c | 5,522$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cubs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs | 60c | 4,623$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.98 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 46c | 4,549$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers | 50c | 4,179$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 46c | 3,738$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.17 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 53c | 2,608$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.35 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 50c | 2,544$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 35c | 2,543$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.86 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cubs | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.59 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,276$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Cubs | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 48c | 1,181$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.15 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,166$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.55 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 12c | 862.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…23bdbacked Brewers | 51c | 847$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 57c | 766.42$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Brewers | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 40c | 744.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…df8fbacked Cubs | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6043…0c7bbacked Cubs | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 15c | 673$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…d47abacked Brewers | 51c | 627$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 47c | 603$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.59 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…361cbacked Brewers | 51c | 597$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…d6eebacked Brewers | 51c | 553$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 63c | 551.56$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Brewers | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 53c | 445.73$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 37c | 417$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 50c | 370.13$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 51c | 352.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 350$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cubs | 49c | 334.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Brewers | 55c | 314.69$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers | 53c | 299.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Brewers | 54c | 291.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cubs | 50c | 259.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Brewers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Brewers | 29c | 244.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Brewers | 36c | 222.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…93e6backed Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…4992backed Brewers | 52c | 209.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Brewers | 51c | 205.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Cubs | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Cubs | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…c9cabacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Brewers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Cubs | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…c7ccbacked Brewers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…499cbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…4f81backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…6cbbbacked Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.