Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6a8c4b0575d623138db5730c1e88fcd413a2273879ec0fbdb6580f4f93a007
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof North Carolina Tar Heels, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,630 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 15,155$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Clemson Tigers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Clemson Tigers | 54c | 3,330$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.8 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 3,123$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clemson Tigers | 59c | 2,233$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.58 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Clemson Tigers | 53c | 1,873$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.6 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 41c | 1,461$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 1,014$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.02 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 44c | 599.34$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Clemson Tigers | 57c | 271.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Clemson Tigers | 57c | 207.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Clemson Tigers | 57c | 198.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Clemson Tigers | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 40c | 166.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 140.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 136.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Clemson Tigers | 56c | 115.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 107.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Clemson Tigers | 56c | 106.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Clemson Tigers | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 73.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Clemson Tigers | 55c | 73.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 59.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 54.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Clemson Tigers | 56c | 54.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 39.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 45c | 36.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 32.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Clemson Tigers | 57c | 27.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 42c | 24.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Clemson Tigers | 56c | 24.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)this page
- Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsClemson Tigers won
- Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 138.5Over won
- Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-1.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-2.5)North Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.