NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc1b5f70fe277c3317e8b37f43fc7b6a4c48e40d562da3ecbd44e9b8b4d5ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 51c | 17,282$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.41 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 10,189$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.5 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 8,529$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,249$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 4,780$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 3,697$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.29 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 50c | 2,325$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,011$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 50c | 1,413$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,344$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 1,329$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,055$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 50c | 940.61$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 50c | 705$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 441.98$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 384.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.92 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 254$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 50c | 225$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under | 8c | 162.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 52c | 77.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 74.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 58.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 57.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Over | 53c | 47.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Over | 53c | 28.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 26.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 26.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 50c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 72c | 17.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. SpursSpurs won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.