NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5219df937d2e76adc9a38bd5fda00dd4603e8aa0cd227b63deb7b8855b94d9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $712,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 51c | 226,305$115,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,890.34 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics | 49c | 194,442$95,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,276.62 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Spurs | 50c | 76,238$38,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,829.51 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 50c | 71,541$35,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,570.06 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,299.9 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Celtics | 49c | 64,206$31,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,460.89 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 50c | 49,546$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 49c | 29,449$14,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,430 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics | 50c | 24,469$12,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,234.27 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 50c | 23,420$11,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,709.85 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 50c | 23,186$11,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,518.3 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 49c | 14,737$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.97 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Spurs | 50c | 12,083$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,041.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.07 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Celtics | 52c | 9,734$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.26 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Spurs | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 48c | 6,969$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…c212backed Spurs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…33d4backed Celtics | 49c | 5,969$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Spurs | 51c | 5,639$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.11 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 49c | 5,232$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.77 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 50c | 5,113$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.36 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Celtics | 50c | 5,001$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Spurs | 51c | 4,886$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 49c | 4,228$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.76 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 49c | 4,224$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Spurs | 49c | 3,436$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.5 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Spurs | 51c | 2,871$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.87 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Celtics | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Spurs | 52c | 2,383$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.17 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,340$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.36 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 51c | 2,283$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,268$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Celtics | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,218$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.02 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…fc96backed Celtics | 52c | 2,154$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Spurs | 48c | 2,063$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,049$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.88 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.13 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Celtics | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.22 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Spurs | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.41 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Spurs | 49c | 1,920$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.38 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Spurs | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Spurs | 51c | 1,827$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 48c | 1,705$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,677$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Celtics | 50c | 1,501$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Spurs | 51c | 1,325$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.24 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 53c | 1,288$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 48c | 1,285$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Spurs | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.06 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 51c | 1,177$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.69 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Spurs | 56c | 1,100$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.99 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Celtics | 47c | 1,060$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Celtics | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Celtics | 50c | 1,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.93 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.15 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 50c | 999.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.88 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Celtics | 49c | 917.49$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Spurs | 51c | 905.1$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.09 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Spurs | 50c | 895.27$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.63 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Spurs | 51c | 890.95$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.57 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Spurs | 51c | 890.37$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Celtics | 49c | 877.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Celtics | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…03fabacked Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Spurs | 51c | 785.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.07 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Spurs | 52c | 769.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.38 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Spurs | 49c | 726.21$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Celtics | 53c | 610.65$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Celtics | 50c | 601.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Spurs | 50c | 600.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.07 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Celtics | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Spurs | 51c | 589.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.39 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Spurs | 50c | 558.6$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Celtics | 49c | 554.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.07 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Spurs | 51c | 553.84$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.13 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Celtics | 49c | 505.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Spurs | 51c | 490.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Spurs | 51c | 490.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Celtics | 50c | 488.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Celtics | 49c | 449.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Celtics | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…cfbcbacked Spurs | 51c | 405.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 51c | 404.18$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57c…3e7dbacked Spurs | 51c | 400.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Celtics | 50c | 400.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…91a4backed Celtics | 51c | 400.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. SpursSpurs won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.