Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Norrie (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f805718b42bd2f7cb4e8d0acfd9acad3ededd76cd8ef749afa257a49390481b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Zverev, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Norrie | 57c | 16,677$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,171.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zverev | 43c | 12,633$5,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zverev | 0c | 4,585$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Zverev | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zverev | 41c | 1,062$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.25 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Zverev | 42c | 735.85$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.55 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Zverev | 43c | 466.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Norrie | 64c | 363.24$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Zverev | 43c | 322.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Norrie | 57c | 310.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Zverev | 43c | 304.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Zverev | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Zverev | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Zverev | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Norrie | 58c | 68.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Norrie | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…5670backed Norrie | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Zverev | 39c | 58.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Zverev | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…dbeebacked Zverev | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Norrie | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zverev | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,128 | 27.9%315 W · 813 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Zverev | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Norrie | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Norrie | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Norrie | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 345 | 38%131 W · 214 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Norrie (+2.5)this page
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieZverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs NorrieZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)Zverev won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.