College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-43.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a552222b49083c8f17ae9b76ffd0f71a2b0b11b72a95e907a5feca3cf1fdb8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlotte 49ersof Georgia, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Georgia | 49c | 45,975$22,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,357.78 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.99 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 18,987$9,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,394.71 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Georgia | 49c | 9,358$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.62 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Georgia | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 48c | 6,944$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.22 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 6,797$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 6,765$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.55 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Georgia | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Georgia | 48c | 5,512$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.76 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Georgia | 48c | 5,375$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.04 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 4,262$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Georgia | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Georgia | 50c | 1,879$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Georgia | 46c | 979$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Georgia | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 666$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 450$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Georgia | 50c | 436.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.35 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Georgia | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 375$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Georgia | 47c | 367.69$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Charlotte 49ers | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Georgia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Charlotte 49ers | 55c | 202.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Georgia | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia | 48c | 51.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Charlotte 49ers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Georgia | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…30babacked Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Georgia | 46c | 35.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Charlotte 49ers | 51c | 31.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…daa6backed Charlotte 49ers | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Georgia | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Charlotte 49ers | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-43.5)this page
- Charlotte 49ers vs. GeorgiaGeorgia won
- Spread: Georgia (-44.5)Charlotte 49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.