TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Brewers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcce…136abacked Mariners25c50,228$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500.2829240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners18c44,187$8,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,145.2997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners54c34,638$18,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,746.0213352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners25c7,636$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.869,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ad…2582backed Mariners53c7,416$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.322552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers47c7,414$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.520850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Brewers47c7,150$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7586144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Brewers46c6,046$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.0721740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers44c5,600$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,13656451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers65c4,855$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.712,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Brewers44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52050852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Brewers48c3,911$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.4438444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers47c3,805$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.726355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners54c3,749$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.8932852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners18c3,605$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.4554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Brewers46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers48c2,887$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.1960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers46c2,551$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.691,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Mariners54c2,500$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.6124852.4%130 W · 118 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Brewers46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers46c2,397$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.551,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Brewers46c2,197$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.261,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f5…951cbacked Mariners54c1,940$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd9…3dabbacked Brewers46c1,940$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7013…2c27backed Brewers46c1,900$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Mariners54c1,846$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers45c1,753$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.9741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners1c1,453$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0316725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Mariners52c1,398$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7118748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers46c1,312$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.131,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b124backed Mariners54c1,304$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb833…56f2backed Brewers46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+78.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d0a…f3fcbacked Brewers46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x475e…f5fcbacked Mariners54c1,296$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners40c1,112$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.118837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners2c1,051$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.978762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Brewers56c1,023$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.3312924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Brewers47c1,015$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.053455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mariners49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49023545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccf…a574backed Mariners54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c2…455dbacked Mariners54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Brewers48c812.85$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.689745.4%44 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mariners2c748.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.575862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40062346.2%288 W · 335 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Brewers66c604.17$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.179354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers46c596.3$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers43c582.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.945,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Mariners52c572.75$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.836425%16 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Brewers45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.257548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers54c535$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners30c498.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Mariners38c489.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7717239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Mariners8c460$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0110719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Mariners55c448.8$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8410550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4422546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Brewers46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5363052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners7c422$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers49c408.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners51c401.16$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5954051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Mariners30c400$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11912939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Mariners53c348.28$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5912949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers48c309.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers44c307.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.971,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners54c294.8$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.142,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers46c279.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7f…fb42backed Brewers50c277.94$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.945954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Mariners40c263.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5210744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Brewers45c222.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6540548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers45c219.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.791,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers46c219.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.472,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners43c217.42$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1880680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers47c217.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers47c214.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4522351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers47c200$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10769547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners54c199.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers64c197.03$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.664,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners47c184.84$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Brewers60c173.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.79345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Brewers44c143.18$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1838743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Brewers46c133.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.029237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82e…c19cbacked Brewers45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.153647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4324951.8%129 W · 120 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Brewers66c129$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3225364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Mariners55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Brewers44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7025954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2138…c26dbacked Mariners54c120.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.81825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Brewers64c110.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.743971.8%28 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Mariners56c106$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Mariners50c103.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.214945%67 W · 82 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Brewers68c102$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7560052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Mariners25c101.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.