Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32b5eacb34c4de54a0884c74892df2170123cad5a976c7f8c923ae49cb2e0c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Florida Gators, Vanderbilt Commodores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,744 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Florida Gators | 54c | 11,385$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.68 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 2,601$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 2,390$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.75 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 1,738$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gators | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 666.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…37f3backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 654.62$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 582.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 402.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Florida Gators | 52c | 396.51$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Florida Gators | 48c | 357.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Florida Gators | 50c | 332.92$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 322.16$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 256.72$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 253.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Florida Gators | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Florida Gators | 48c | 201.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Florida Gators | 51c | 194.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Florida Gators | 55c | 180.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 61c | 156.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Florida Gators | 53c | 130.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida Gators | 48c | 123.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Gators | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Florida Gators | 49c | 99.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 91.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Florida Gators | 45c | 91.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 73.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Florida Gators | 49c | 67.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Florida Gators | 47c | 52.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 52.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Florida Gators | 55c | 45.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…f2ffbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 29.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida GatorsVanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.