Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2b24d96633bc288e650c3732d76d2f97b646233998574813a3852a9560948d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Florida Gators, Vanderbilt Commodores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,103 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 44c | 8,557$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 5,653$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 2,408$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.67 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 54c | 1,836$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.45 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Florida Gators | 45c | 1,780$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 1,076$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.42 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 726.14$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Florida Gators | 46c | 603.29$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.81 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 436.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Florida Gators | 48c | 413.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Florida Gators | 44c | 315.44$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 251.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Florida Gators | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Florida Gators | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Florida Gators | 45c | 111.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 99.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 54c | 59.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 54.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 49.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Florida Gators | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 42c | 42.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Florida Gators | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Florida Gators | 44c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florida Gators | 43c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Florida Gators | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 54c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Florida Gators | 49c | 20.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…41d8backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 78c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida GatorsVanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.