Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2206492eec83fc73c79b0572644991962f00f939aa9d27849c03a379a39512b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 48c | 1,955$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 52c | 1,839$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.62 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 642.66$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.14 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 532.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0f1cbacked Over | 49c | 504.55$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Over | 51c | 497.77$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.81 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 466.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 461.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 451.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 412.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over | 61c | 289.94$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2c56backed Over | 33c | 168.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 146.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 130.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 101.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…0277backed Under | 49c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 46c | 90.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Over | 66c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 50c | 86.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 55c | 64.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 60.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 52c | 48.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…e524backed Over | 65c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…fc49backed Under | 55c | 41.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 30c | 39.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 57c | 31.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 28.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 45c | 28.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5this page
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida GatorsVanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.